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Showing posts with label Convinced vs Skeptics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Convinced vs Skeptics. Show all posts

Monday, 23 April 2012

GET MOTIVATED: HOW I FORMED, MOTIVATE and MAINTAIN MY INVOLVEMENT IN GW-CC ISSUES

HOW I FORMED, MOTIVATE & MAINTAIN MY INVOLVEMENT IN GW-CC ISSUES 


I must admit that as a non-expert in Climatology and much else, I have been an early convert to the mainstream view, impressed by the weight, competence of the professionals,not to mention the abundant peer reviewed publications and the International recognition of the importance of these issues (IPCC) , on par with the International Energy Agencies IEA-AEI(Fr)   IEA-GW-CC section, Let me add it appeared to me that:

1. On such a scale of possible consequences (mostly dire) that it would be better to play it safe and do something about it, preferably something sensible, rather than the "lets waitt and see" people.
(cf. RealClimate article below)
2. As a professional R and D scientist and engineer, experienced both in the Lab. and in industry (the latter a bit grimy), I know for a fact, that it is easier, but not necessarily better, to pollute than not pollute. (Scientists have an explanation for our collective incompetence it is called Entropy).
3. I feel that I would be better for me (and my colleagues retired or otherwise employed) to concentrate on what  as a professionals in metallurgy (great recyclers) materials science, labs or industrialists to put our expert knowledge to use in our discipline. To do so one must have a good grasp of  the GW-CC issues.
4. As Scientists, the scientific mind requires that we remain informed and inquisitive, if not skeptical, of inevitable evolution in this fairly new (at least to the general public) and highly complex field by its shear dimension, and possible consequences.
5. We have ample experience success in all sorts of pollution activity (natural and easy) but little of pollution avoidance and depollution (needs much energy, invention and innovation)
6. An early road map was drawn up by Socolow and Pacala  Wedge Approaches with lead to the creation of The Carbon Mitigation Initiative at Princeton Uni.



RealClimate: The high cost of inaction

www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2011/.../the-cost-of-inaction...
14 Oct 2011 – “Unfortunately, the original wedges approach greatly underestimates needed reductions. In part, that is because Pacala and Socolow built their ...


Hope you enjoy reading me,

Cheers.  

Global surface temperature rise interrupted between 1998 to 2008 cited by Skeptics confuses general public on Global Warming - Climate Change best previsions-senarios. My View and Commitment cf. next post

 My View and Commitment next post - read on below



Reconciling anthropogenic climate change with observed temperature 1998–2008 by Robert K. Kaufmann a,1 , Heikki Kauppi b , Michael L. Mann a , and James H. Stock c
a Department of Geography and Environment, Center for Energy and Environmental Studies, Boston University, 675 Commonwealth Avenue (Room 457), Boston, MA 02215;  b Department of Economics, University of Turku, FI-20014, Turku, Finland; and c Department of Economics,Harvard University, 1805 Cambridge Street, Cambridge, MA 02138 Edited by Robert E. Dickinson, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, and approved June 2, 2011 (received for review February 16, 2011) PNAS

As an informed member of the public I recommend the above referenced paper which I would hope responds to the still highly vocal sceptic specialists  often poor criticism or deliberate mention of facts out of context and biased (bribed?) media and leading to a misinformed sceptic public. cf previous post. 


"Famous last words" ? 


I shall return in following posts to argue my own view as a still convinced GW-CC non-specialist, non-expert educated senior member of the public.

Sunday, 22 April 2012

Climate Change Convinced Experts vs Skeptics Part II_The Fight to discredit THE GROUP OF 98

Volcanic Versus Anthropogenic Carbon Dioxide
Eos, Vol. 92, No. 24, 14 June 2011
When I discovered the paper Expert credibility in climate change [pdf] basis for my previous post, I though that the Global Warming-Climate Change (GW-CC) debate had taken an important step towards even stronger concerted action (much effort has been taken despite recognised uncertainties and the out-right Skeptics. We all know of the inertia to get human society into progressive motion let alone global action, but little did I realise just just how much intellectual, media manipulation, industrial and financial interest were not only dragging their heal but fighting viciously to discredit THE 98%  mainstream climatologists.  

My first reaction was that communication could be at fault. Therefore a strong tangible comparison to touch the public imagination could help. Such a case could be the comparison between volcano vs human generated CO2. Naturally the Climate Scientists, from the Group of 98 have done this work.


Ultrashort summary
: In order to emit CO2 at the same rate as humans, we would need Mt. St Helens to erupt violently every 2.5 hrs. 

Thanks for the reminder from Fight Entropy blog together with comments and further peer reviewed references.

a) RealClimate  peer reviewed paper in EOS[pdf] C on RealClimate blog add further peer reviewed references.

Unfortunately there is still apparently unfair opposition to the Pro GW-CC and the action this calls for
and another blog post appears necessary.